Cutting Through The Noise Of Market Fluctuation With CAGR!

Curious how your investments are really growing? Let’s compare apples & oranges!

Heta Rahul Patel
3 min readJun 11, 2024

The magic of Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) lies in its ability to compare investments that have completely different growth patterns, kind of like comparing apples and oranges.

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Here’s a breakdown of why it’s so helpful:

🌪️ The Volatility Challenge:

Let’s say we have two stocks, Stock A and Stock B:

  • Stock A: This stock is like a rollercoaster. It shoots up 25% in year 1, making us think we’ve struck gold! But then, year 2 throws you a curveball with a 5% drop. Investors are left wondering, “Am I even making money?”
  • Stock B: This stock is the steady climber. It consistently gains 15% every year, offering a sense of stability. However, it might not feel as exciting as Stock A’s initial jump.

🤔 Why It’s Hard to Decide:

Looking at just the raw numbers, it’s difficult to say definitively which stock performed better. Stock A’s initial jump is tempting, but its volatility raises concerns. Stock B, while consistent, might seem like a slow mover.

CAGR illustration

⚡️ CAGR to the Rescue!

This is where CAGR comes in. It acts like a special tool that smooths out the bumps in each stock’s growth path.

Here’s how it works:

  • CAGR takes the starting and ending values of your investment over a specific period (say, 5 years) and calculates a hypothetical annual growth rate.
  • This rate represents the consistent growth your investment would have needed to achieve the same overall return, regardless of the ups and downs in between.

By using CAGR, we can compare Stock A and Stock B based on their average annual growth, which provides a clearer picture.

For example:

  • If Stock A’s CAGR over 5 years is 8%, and Stock B’s is 10%, you know Stock B has generally outperformed Stock A, even though Stock A had a higher initial jump.

CAGR cuts through the noise of market fluctuations and helps you understand the underlying growth potential of your investments.

Remember:

  • CAGR is just one piece of the puzzle. While it helps with comparisons, it doesn’t account for the risk involved in each investment. A stock might be riskier despite its higher CAGR.
  • CAGR goes beyond stocks! It’s a valuable tool to assess the growth of any investment, from mutual funds and real estate to even gold.

By understanding CAGR, we can move beyond the surface level and make more informed investment decisions, choosing the apples or oranges that best suit our financial goals and risk tolerance.

I regularly post easy-to-understand breakdowns and fun economic insights on my LinkedIn. To stay updated, you can follow or connect with me on LinkedIn by clicking this link: HetaPatel287.

#Stocks #Finance #Investment #Stragtegy #MarketAnalysis 🚀

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Heta Rahul Patel
Heta Rahul Patel

Written by Heta Rahul Patel

Software Engineer at JPMorgan Chase & Co., passionate about demystifying the world of finance and beyond, making complex ideas digestible.

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